2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[heyitsmike]

The point isn't that the documents are gone, they are not, it is that someone is not privy to their private communications. Maybe its an opportunist, maybe its an actual operative meant to intercept intelligence from specific parties.

It's a "the dog ate my homework story." He was better off lying!

Yesterday the media, on both sides, proved what I have said before: they are far, far dumber than the average conservative/independent. Tucker looks stupid as hell that he lost the ONLY copy of these documents. People have been saying for months, don't trust mailing your ballot if you wouldn't mail your lottery ticket back to the state. Well, Tucker had something mailed that was even more valuable than a lottery ticket!

It's such a retarded story, I myself doubt if the person who said they mailed it to him actually had the goods in the first place. When you hear hoofbeats, you think horses, not zebras. It's far easier to believe Tucker got played by a liar à la Julie Swetnick than to believe USPS or UPS or DHL absconded with a piece of mail no one even fucking knew was coming until Tucker announced it had been stolen!

Also yesterday, the identity of the anonymous "senior WH official" was revealed. It was a deputy chief of staff of a failed cabinet member! Like, who the fuck is Miles Taylor? It'd have been far better for them to keep letting people believe it might be Kellyanne Conway or Mike Pence or Ivanka.

These journos are so stupid and out of touch with how real people think that they don't even know when saying something looks far worse than saying nothing at all.

Fucking amateur hour. For about a week or two people were posting Tucker Carlson videos like every other day in this thread or the TDS thread. Saying shit like, "Trump needs to be careful! Tucker said something something and he's the Walter Cronkite of the Republican base! If he loses Tucker he will lose his base!" There were people on this very board saying stupid shit like Tucker should run in 2024 and that he'd be a shoo in. Some of us were like, "That ? No way. You're out of your skull."

Fucking retard, that Tucker Carlson is.

 

[Pointless Pedant]

It's a "the dog ate my homework story." He was better off lying!

Yesterday the media, on both sides, proved what I have said before: they are far, far dumber than the average conservative/independent. Tucker looks stupid as hell that he lost the ONLY copy of these documents. People have been saying for moths, don't trust mailing your ballot if you wouldn't mail your lottery ticket back to the state. Well Tucker had something mailed that was even more valuable than a lottery ticket!

It's such a retarded story, I myself doubt if the person who said they mailed it to him actually had the goods in the first place. When you hear hoofbeats, you think horses, not zebras. It's far easier to believe Tucker got played by a liar à la Julie Swetnick than to believe USPS or UPS or DHL absconded with a piece of mail no one even fucking knew was coming until Tucker announced it had been stolen!

Also yesterday, the identity of the anonymous "senior WH official" was revealed. It was a deputy chief of staff of a failed cabinet member! Like, who the fuck is Miles Taylor? It'd have been far better for them to keep letting people believe it might be Kellyanne Conway or Mike Pence or Ivanka.

These journos are so stupid and out of touch with how real people think that they don't even know when saying something looks far worse than saying nothing at all.

Fucking amateur hour. For about a week or two people were posting Tucker Carlson videos like every other day in this thread or the TDS thread. Saying shit like, "Trump needs to be careful! Tucker said something something and he's the Walter Cronkite of the Republican base! If he loses Tucker he will lose his base!" There were people on this very board saying stupid shit like Tucker should run in 2024 and that he'd be a shoo in. Some of us were like, "That ? No way. You're out of your skull."

Fucking retard, that Tucker Carlson is.

I don't think many people were seriously entertaining the idea of a Carlson 2024 run, that would be like some guy from CNN getting the Democratic nomination. If an outsider does run, it will be a billionaire magnate like Trump was.

 

[Inventor of the Telephone]

Tucker looks stupid as hell that he lost the ONLY copy of these documents.

https://twitter.com/SollenbergerRC/status/1321639130976104449

I see now that perhaps I didn't phrase that correctly: the point isn't that the only copies of the documents are gone, they are not, it is that someone is privy to their private communications. It is that someone has intercepted their mail. Maybe this isn't the first time it has happend, maybe their mail is regularly "inspected" en route. Maybe the filching of the documents was to serve as a warning, as they could have copied them without stealing them. Maybe it was just some dumbshit who saw Fox or Tucker and shit out their buttplug in rage (I think this is most likely). It is worrisome though, whatever the reason.

 

[XYZpdq]

Twice now my apt complex has gotten door hangers for Biden/Harris, and both times whoever's placing them didn't even bother to put them on the doors, just dropped then on the trashcan or on the ground near the door.
I thought it just fell off at first, but it's like that for every door in my hallway both times.
Low energy indeed.

 

[Syaoran Li]

The expansion of the DC suburbs has made Virginia generally lean blue. It would take a serious upset for it to turn red, and the local GOP is a mess which doesn't help.

Agreed.

The most realistic outcome I'm predicting for Virginia this year is that it will go blue thanks to NoVA but the popular vote for Biden there will be lower and the GOP might flip some House seats in more purplish or pale blue districts.

The 2021 state elections might be a last hurrah victory for the Republicans in Virginia because of Northam but a lot of that would depend on who gets the nomination for each party.

Virginia governors can only serve a single term by state law, so if Northam's supposed successor candidate is bad enough or if the Virginia GOP go with another DC neocon or Bible Belt traditionalist throwback, that will have an impact on the state election outcomes in 2021 more than anything, at least for the governor's office.

Well 2016 saw a lot of cali right wingers going lolbertarian or abstaining.

If cali righties all vote trump and cali lefties are demoralized enough to abstain or go lolbert now that jojo's pandering to them we could see the red star happen.

Of course I'm expecting a rainbow avalanche here 'cause I must admit this is my most optimistic take so far, but last ellections people were saying the same shit of Andalusia here in spain and against all odds we flipped for the first time since democracy is a fucking thing. So you know, 1% is not 0%, just really close.

California will never go red. At best, we might see some of the rural purple districts flip light red or a lower turnout that can help Trump with the popular vote.

 

[heyitsmike]

I don't think many people were seriously entertaining the idea of a Carlson 2024 run, that would be like some guy from CNN getting the Democratic nomination. If an outsider does run, it will be a billionaire magnate like Trump was.

Oh rearry?

Seriously guys, Tucker Carlson 2024.

I'd vote for him in a heartbeat

I would love it if he runs for President.

If Trump loses Tucker's confidence, he loses the election. He is probably right wing Cronkite at this rate he is going.

While he'd be a fantastic candidate, I seriously think there's a non-trivial chance that if Tucker Carlson looks like he's going to win the presidency, he'll be assassinated. He's too much of a potential threat to the powers that be.

If Tucker runs, everyone else gets btfo and thanks for playing.

 

[Oats12345]

Oh rearry?

The fact you went to search all those random comments imply you have no life.

Also who are you voting for this election

 

[Pointless Pedant]

Oh rearry?

Some, not many.

 

[the fall of man]

Cali is solid blue because of the college vote

 

[heyitsmike]

https://tw.tinf.io/SollenbergerRC/status/1321639130976104449

View attachment 1693940

I see now that perhaps I didn't phrase that correctly: the point isn't that the only copies of the documents are gone, they are not, it is that someone is privy to their private communications. It is that someone has intercepted their mail. Maybe this isn't the first time it has happend, maybe their mail is regularly "inspected" en route. Maybe the filching of the documents was to serve as a warning, as they could have copied them without stealing them. Maybe it was just some dumbshit who saw Fox or Tucker and shit out their buttplug in rage (I think this is most likely). It is worrisome though, whatever the reason.

If it was SMS, I'd buy that story. But the speech bubbles are blue. They're corresponding via iMessage, which is encrypted.

The fact you went to search all those random comments imply you have no life.

On a scale from 1 to 10, how hard do you think it is to search for "Tucker 2024" on this site?

Also who are you voting for this election

Already voted Trump.

 

[Blubbles]

Twice now my apt complex has gotten door hangers for Biden/Harris, and both times whoever's placing them didn't even bother to put them on the doors, just dropped then on the trashcan or on the ground near the door.
I thought it just fell off at first, but it's like that for every door in my hallway both times.
Low energy indeed.

I know I'm gonna get rainbows for this but maybe a lot of secret trump voters work for the Biden campaign. I think they were paying 20 an hour for some positions in my area.

 

[heh]

It's called a parlay (US) or accumulator bet (UK).

What is an Accumulator Bet? | Bet Types Explained - AceOdds

Learn what an accumulator bet is and how to work out potential winnings. All concepts are outlined in a straightforward, easy to understand style.

www.aceodds.com

Thanks, I didn't know it had a name. All bets are in that format here, except eg. horse races and the like AFAIK

 

[Hollywood Hulk Hogan]

https://tw.tinf.io/SollenbergerRC/status/1321639130976104449

View attachment 1693940

I see now that perhaps I didn't phrase that correctly: the point isn't that the only copies of the documents are gone, they are not, it is that someone is privy to their private communications. It is that someone has intercepted their mail. Maybe this isn't the first time it has happend, maybe their mail is regularly "inspected" en route. Maybe the filching of the documents was to serve as a warning, as they could have copied them without stealing them. Maybe it was just some dumbshit who saw Fox or Tucker and shit out their buttplug in rage (I think this is most likely). It is worrisome though, whatever the reason.

Or, maybe, the documents are as real as Sonichu?

 

[Someone Awful]

Baris will be discussing Michigan. His poll his Biden up 2 six days before the election and Wisconsin results will come tomorrow

- Electorate is still Democratic favored (D+3), but not as much as in 2016 and 2018. He brings up inferred voters.
- Trump is doing worse among Independents, but it is not the full picture and more Independents call themselves Republicans
- Trump is doing slightly better in Wayne County
- African-Americans are 13% compared to 19% in Pennsylvania
- Believes there are rich votes for Trump in Wayne County
- He's closing the gap in Oakland/Macomb County
- Obama is going to the suburbs which is why he needs to campaign there to win Michigan
- Hillary Clinton was winning the suburbs in the polls in the Rust Belt
- Compare poll results to poll results
- Biden is leading in the urban areas by thirty-two points, slightly worse than Clinton
- Rural area is underestimated yet Trump is at 60%
- Gary Peters is still leading John James 45-41.9%, but it does not factor in leaners
- 8.7% are undecided on the Senate race
- Trump is doing better than John James among the black votes
- Trump is leading among seniors by three points, but James is tied
- Trump is not doing as well with the 30-44 edge as in Pennsylvania, thinks Biden has more to tap there
- Gives Biden the slight edge in Michigan
- Lockdown has hurt Whitmer
- Due to undecided, John James might outperform Trump
- James is lagging behing Trump in the North/Central area but undecides are more rich for him than Trump
- Pennsylvania and Michigan vote similarly
- Trump is maxed out among Republicans, but James can pick up vote
- Even more people in Michigan are uncomfortable telling people how they will vote. "Very Comfortable" is the lowest yet.
- Generic ballot is bad for Republicans, at six points
- Wisconsin looks very close
- Kenosha is very representative although skew female
- Oakland/Macomb County skews a little too female
- Biden leads in Oakland 58-41, bad for Trump and he needs to close the gap
- Trump is 62-38, thrashing Biden
- Baris expects Democrats to cheat if Trump is within 10,000 votes
- Trump made a huge mistake of allowing public health "experts" control of his economy policies during the COVID-19 pandemic
- Managed to sample all of north Pennsylvania, all of the state, and all of Michigan
- Colombians in Florida are overwhelmingly going for Trump and a lot are immigrating there
- Puerto Ricans are not immigrating as much
- Republicans are going to do well with the black votes in North Carolina
- Good news are coming for Republicans in Arizona later today, particularly in Maricopa County
- Believes that news and social media are violating campaign financial laws and that if Trump is re-elected, should treat them as SuperPACs

 

[HTTP Error 404]

- Believes that news and social media are violating campaign financial laws and that if Trump is re-elected, should treat them as SuperPACs

RICO! They conspired to violate campaign finance law.

 

[Local Coyote]

I will be voting red in a state so deep blue if you see a Trump sign it's probably vandalized in some way. I cannot in good conscience let Harris have any more power. She was a goddamn nightmare here.

On top of that, Trump is an anti war pro peace candidate. The Dems condone rioting, attacking their own citizens, and terrorist groups. I disagree with Trump on social issues and he can be an asshole but I just don't see where the Literally Hitler narrative comes from.

I will say I am seeing a lot of ads to vote and women wearing cute masks and jewelry telling people to vote. If they are so pro-voting, they shouldn't have a problem with a vote for Trump? The message has been recieved.

 

[heyitsmike]

The messages he's referring to were printed. The ones that were intercepted via Fedex/UPS/whatever.

The screenshots say someone is reading their texts, implying that's how they knew the documents were en route so they could be intercepted.

But those texts are being sent via iMessage, not regular SMS. That means they are encrypted end to end. No one else can read their texts.

 

[XYZpdq]

- Puerto Ricans are not immigrating as much

also I suspect the "PR = solid blue" thing isn't as much a thing after the local government shitted up the relief efforts after that hurricane
obviously anecdotes and evidence are difference things but on local twitters I've seen a few instances of articles about PR and Florida where a white liberal will bring up "trump threw paper towels" and get a few PRs responding to the effect of "still more than the democrats did"

 

[Pointless Pedant]

also I suspect the "PR = solid blue" thing isn't as much a thing after the local government shitted up the relief efforts after that hurricane
obviously anecdotes and evidence are difference things but on local twitters I've seen a few instances of articles about PR and Florida where a white liberal will bring up "trump threw paper towels" and get a few PRs responding to the effect of "still more than the democrats did"

Besides, these are the ones who moved to the US, so if they had extremely anti-American sentiments they would probably have stayed there.

 

[StarkRavingMad]

- Electorate is still Democratic favored (D+3), but not as much as in 2016 and 2018. He brings up inferred voters.
- Trump is doing worse among Independents, but it is not the full picture and more Independents call themselves Republicans
- Trump is doing slightly better in Wayne County
- African-Americans are 13% compared to 19% in Pennsylvania
- Believes there are rich votes for Trump in Wayne County
- He's closing the gap in Oakland/Macomb County
- Obama is going to the suburbs which is why he needs to campaign there to win Michigan
- Hillary Clinton was winning the suburbs in the polls in the Rust Belt
- Compare poll results to poll results
- Biden is leading in the urban areas by thirty-two points, slightly worse than Clinton
- Rural area is underestimated yet Trump is at 60%
- Gary Peters is still leading John James 45-41.9%, but it does not factor in leaners
- 8.7% are undecided on the Senate race
- Trump is doing better than John James among the black votes
- Trump is leading among seniors by three points, but James is tied
- Trump is not doing as well with the 30-44 edge as in Pennsylvania, thinks Biden has more to tap there
- Gives Biden the slight edge in Michigan
- Lockdown has hurt Whitmer
- Due to undecided, John James might outperform Trump
- James is lagging behing Trump in the North/Central area but undecides are more rich for him than Trump
- Pennsylvania and Michigan vote similarly
- Trump is maxed out among Republicans, but James can pick up vote
- Even more people in Michigan are uncomfortable telling people how they will vote. "Very Comfortable" is the lowest yet.
- Generic ballot is bad for Republicans, at six points
- Wisconsin looks very close
- Kenosha is very representative although skew female
- Oakland/Macomb County skews a little too female
- Biden leads in Oakland 58-41, bad for Trump and he needs to close the gap
- Trump is 62-38, thrashing Biden
- Baris expects Democrats to cheat if Trump is within 10,000 votes
- Trump made a huge mistake of allowing public health "experts" control of his economy policies during the COVID-19 pandemic
- Managed to sample all of north Pennsylvania, all of the state, and all of Michigan
- Colombians in Florida are overwhelmingly going for Trump and a lot are immigrating there
- Puerto Ricans are not immigrating as much
- Republicans are going to do well with the black votes in North Carolina
- Good news are coming for Republicans in Arizona later today, particularly in Maricopa County
- Believes that news and social media are violating campaign financial laws and that if Trump is re-elected, should treat them as SuperPACs

Based on this, if it's at all accurate, then I think Trump has better chances in PA than MI.