It just occurred to me that this might actually be related to the ammo ban that came in recently.
Push people into a corner, people push back. Push enough unstable people, they lash out. Do that to millions of people in a high gun ownership nation, someones likely to get shot over this. This is a way to get a false flag without actually spending capital to orchestrate an event, just force it naturally. This gives them a free card to pivot towards trying gun control, and lets them push back against vaccine hesistancy in the media with "What, are you a mass killer too?" and try and paint the opposition as terrorist. They already seeded the ground with the American Taliban comments, they can point to a very recent action in the russian ammo ban as "Look, we tried something other than taking the guns, and it didn't work".
My glownigger alarm is going off heavily. This would make marginally more sense than just yeeting out a massive, nation splitting constitutional violation for no reason. Action was suddenly taken, someone has to be hoping for a hail mary out the end of it. Because the alternative is just malice for malice's sake.