Erin Reed / Anthony Reed II / @ErinInTheMorn / @ErinInTheMorning / @ErinInTheNight / _supernovasky_ / beholderseye / realitybias / AnonymousRabbit - post-op transbian Twitter/TikTok "activist" with bad fashion, giant Reddit tattoo. Former drug dealer with felony. Married to Zooey Simone Zephyr / Zachary Todd Raasch.

  • 🐕 Changes are being made. Got a request? Shoot your shot.
    💹 I am interested in growing the non-English section of the site. Discuss.
    🖼️ Old attachments may be broken. I am rebuilding the local filesystem. They are not lost.
Erin wants "LGB" folks (obviously meaning the ones without the T) to be alarmed by America's waning support for LGBT.

I doubt Erin is quite aware how disgustingly abusive his behaviour is. "Look, gays and lesbians! Trannies force-teamed themselves on you and our demands became so unhinged the normies are cottoning on. If we're going down, we're bringing you down with us! Suck shit!"
Don't kid yourself - they're all different sides of the same die. If society hadn't tolerated the G and the L, none of the rest would be a problem either.
 
Those are business pods.
Maybe the airline gave them a freebie so that people didn't have to smell their stinkditches and they can dilate in semi-privacy.

Remember trannies can choose their own families
Oh yes, cos once a man is a woman, nothing means anything so blood relations you've known forever and developed as people with can be replaced with the person sucking up to you most this week. Love and romance becomes being unable to stand each others companies. Activism becomes paying someone to write dumb articles. Winston Churchill is a carrot.

Well done on so completely "queering" everything Tony and Zack, truly pushing the frontiers of post-modernism and challenging heteronormativity.

Troons are the best real life example of modus ponens.
 
ChatGPT gives Tony a rating of "mostly bullshit."

Screenshot 2025-08-05 132007.webp
Screenshot 2025-08-05 132029.webp

📋 CLAIM-BY-CLAIM ANALYSIS​

🚨 CLAIM 1: “Trump has launched a national campaign of extermination against trans people.”​

Status: Fallacious, hyperbolic rhetoric
Analysis:
No Trump policy, executive order, or public statement explicitly or implicitly advocates for “extermination.” The term evokes genocide, and using it in this context is a gross mischaracterization of legal, bureaucratic, or funding-based policy initiatives. While Trump-era and 2025 executive orders have rolled back protections or attempted to limit funding for gender-affirming care—especially for minors—calling it “extermination” is a false equivalence unsupported by statutory language, court findings, or international human rights definitions (see UN Genocide Convention).

⚖️ CLAIM 2: “Blue states must criminally prosecute Texas and Florida officials for violating trans rights under state human rights laws.”​

Status: Legally unsubstantiated and jurisdictionally flawed
Analysis:
No state AG can criminally prosecute another state’s officials for lawful conduct performed within that official’s own jurisdiction. The idea violates the Full Faith and Credit Clause and principles of federalism. State-level human rights laws (e.g., California’s Unruh Civil Rights Act or New York Human Rights Law) apply to conduct within the state, not extraterritorially. Such prosecutions would be dismissed immediately for lack of jurisdiction and subject to comity challenges.

💰 CLAIM 3: “Trump is cutting off Medicaid and Medicare dollars to hospitals that treat trans people.”​

Status: Misleading overgeneralization
Analysis:
Executive Order 14187, signed by Trump in May 2025, prohibits federal funding to institutions that provide gender-affirming care to minors. It does not universally cut Medicaid or Medicare funds for all transgender-related treatments or all hospitals that serve trans patients. Additionally, injunctions are already in place in several circuits (e.g., Ninth and Second) temporarily blocking enforcement of key provisions. Thus, the claim mischaracterizes both the scope and enforceability of the executive action.

📉 CLAIM 4: “Hospitals are canceling care out of fear, and some blue states are standing idle.”​

Status: Partially true but missing crucial legal context
Analysis:
Some hospitals, particularly those receiving federal research funds (NIH, HHS), did pause gender-affirming care for minors in May–June 2025. However, most resumed after receiving guidance from state AGs or after litigation clarified their obligations. Blue states like California, New Jersey, and Washington issued protective executive orders, shielding providers from enforcement or extradition under hostile federal or state laws. The article omits this critical detail and creates a false narrative of universal inaction.

🧾 CLAIM 5: “Universities like UPenn and Brown are rolling back trans rights to preserve federal funding.”​

Status: Substantially true, but contextually overstated
Analysis:
These institutions entered settlements after federal investigations and threats of funding cuts. UPenn agreed to vacate Lia Thomas's records and exclude transgender women from future women's sports competitions. Brown University’s deal included compliance with Trump’s Title IX guidance, plus a major diversity workforce reinvestment. However, these were negotiated settlements, not judicial findings or formal federal mandates. The article frames them as capitulations when they were strategic legal resolutions to avoid litigation risks.

🧪 CLAIM 6: “Scientific consensus supports gender-affirming care and states that delay enforcement are complicit in harm.”​

Status: Partially accurate, but politicized
Analysis:
Major U.S. medical associations (AMA, APA, AAP, Endocrine Society) support access to gender-affirming care under informed consent, especially for adults. However, the standard of care for minors is contested internationally (e.g., Sweden, Finland, UK’s NHS have restricted youth transitions pending long-term outcomes data). The use of “consensus” is imprecise and ignores substantial cross-national disagreement about the safety, efficacy, and age-appropriateness of interventions. Calling state delay “complicity” is rhetorical, not legal.

🧱 CLAIM 7: “Federal civil rights law still protects trans people under Bostock v. Clayton County.”​

Status: Accurate as to employment law, but not fully generalizable
Analysis:
Bostock (2020) held that discrimination based on transgender status is a form of sex discrimination under Title VII (employment). It does not control Title IX, medical care, prisons, or athletics. Federal courts are divided over how Bostock applies outside employment. The Biden administration had attempted to extend Bostock principles broadly, but Trump’s EO 14187 seeks to curtail that interpretation. Erin’s article incorrectly extrapolates a broader protection than Bostock guarantees.

⚠️ STRATEGIC MISREPRESENTATIONS:​

ClaimProblem
“Trump is exterminating trans people”Inflammatory and factually unsupported; no legal, military, or bureaucratic policy resembles genocide.
“States can criminally charge red-state officials”Constitutionally impossible; violates basic federalism principles.
“Medicaid cut off for all trans care”Misstates the scope and ignores injunctions and ongoing litigation.
“Scientific consensus is absolute”Ignores international restrictions and pending outcome studies.
“Bostock protects all trans rights under federal law”Misapplies precedent outside its employment-specific context.
 

⚠️ STRATEGIC MISREPRESENTATIONS:​

ClaimProblem
“Trump is exterminating trans people”Inflammatory and factually unsupported; no legal, military, or bureaucratic policy resembles genocide.
“States can criminally charge red-state officials”Constitutionally impossible; violates basic federalism principles.
“Medicaid cut off for all trans care”Misstates the scope and ignores injunctions and ongoing litigation.
“Scientific consensus is absolute”Ignores international restrictions and pending outcome studies.
“Bostock protects all trans rights under federal law”Misapplies precedent outside its employment-specific context.
Tony somehow manages to be so wrong that an AI that's specifically designed to give the left-wing answer for everything says he's full of shit. Breaking True and Honest barriers.
 
Another Tony Reed blog post gets the "mostly bullshit" rating.

Screenshot 2025-08-06 191742.webp
Here’s a structured, point‑by‑point refutation of the article titled “DOJ Wants to Scare Schools, Businesses and More Into Trans Bathroom Ban” published by Erin In The Morning on August 6, 2025:

1. The Memo vs. Guided Policy: Authority and Language​

  • Article Claim: The AG Pam Bondi memo “declared ‘all Americans must be treated equally,’” but the article treats this as a veiled threat.
  • Clearer View: If this is a guidance or memo—not a formal regulation—it is inherently advisory. It reflects enforcement of existing civil rights law (likely under Title IX or related anti-discrimination statutes), not an executive command to ban trans access.

2. “Treating Equally” ≠ Targeting Rights​

  • Article Claim: “Equal” here actually means “unequal,” a precursor to stripped-away rights.
  • Counterpoint: Unless the memo explicitly says otherwise, enforcement of equal treatment is consistent with long-standing federal civil rights enforcement. There’s no cited text indicating it redefines equality to exclude protected classes.

3. Scope of Enforcement: Federal Funds Context​

  • Article Claim: The memo threatens recipients of federal funds (schools, hospitals, nonprofits, etc.) against accommodating trans individuals in restrooms, locker rooms, showers, dorms, athletics.
  • Clarifying Point: Federal anti-discrimination laws—under certain administrations—have included gender identity under “sex,” but this has varied by administration and typically requires formal rulemaking or court decisions. A memo alone cannot override Title IX or its legal interpretations.

4. Legal Precedent: Compliance vs. Litigation​

  • Article Claim: The memo is a fear-based tactic; institutions may cave rather than fight.
  • Adjustment: Historically, even strong guidance based on civil rights law has been subject to legal challenge. Key cases (e.g., Whitaker v. Kenosha, Doe v. Boyertown, G.G. v. Gloucester County) upheld transgender rights in restroom and facility access erininthemorning.com+1Wikipedia. Institutions facing such guidance have valid defenses.

5. Context of “Bathroom Bills”​

  • Article Claim: The memo builds on previous Trump actions, redefining sex, banning trans individuals from military, etc.
  • Broader Picture: Yes, enforcement actions and executive orders have oscillated across administrations. But restricting bathroom access via memo lacks the force of legislation. Meanwhile, multiple studies and major professional organizations have found no evidence that inclusive restroom policies increase safety risks—indeed, the opposite: bans often harm trans and gender-nonconforming individuals Wikipedia.

6. Legal Force vs. Advisory Guidance​

  • Article Suggests: This memo is authoritative.
  • Reality: Unless it’s a regulation or executive order—promulgated with public notice and comment—it lacks binding legal force. Courts typically require demonstration of actual injury or regulatory authority before enforcement.

Summary Table

Article’s AssertionClarification / Rebuttal
Memo declared unequal intent under the guise of equality.No direct language suggests rights stripping—equal treatment is consistent with civil rights principles unless stated otherwise.
The memo forces institutions to ban trans access under threat.Without formal regulation, it’s an advisory—not binding policy—and can be legally challenged.
Courts always yield to such guidance.Past precedents show robust legal pushback in favor of trans rights in school settings.
Inclusive bathroom policies cause safety issues.Multiple studies found no increased risk; major health and advocacy groups oppose bans.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Another Tony Reed blog post gets the "mostly bullshit" rating.

One has to admire his tenacity.

He reminds me of James Whale, an unfunny pseudo right wing pundit who managed to have a long running TV show on British TV in the 80s and 90s.

Granted it was on at three in the morning and vhs taped by people who watched it for its “so bad it’s good” quality, but arguably that’s quite successful for an average man of average intelligence and average opinions.

Tony is that to, an average man, slightly below average intelligence and very average opinion.
 
He reminds me of James Whale, an unfunny pseudo right wing pundit who managed to have a long running TV show on British TV in the 80s and 90s.
He reminds me of Brass Eye if it wasn't satire. Guys like Chris Morris and Armando Iannucci must despair that real life has become too stupid to parody.
 
AI says he is making 5k a month tops.
See here:
A monthly subscription is $5, and Substack takes 10%. Substack says Tony has "tens of thousands of paid subscribers" (on 123,000 total), but even if we low-ball it at exactly 10,000, that's still $45,000 a month, or $540,000 a year.
I should have noted at the time that a yearly subscription is cheaper, at $50. After Substack's cut, Tony sees $3.75 a month. If we assume he has the minimum 10,000 paid subscribers, that's $450,000 a year.

"AI" (a large language model) works by feeding the Internet through a blender, and "answers" your questions by producing words from that soup that are statistically likely to appear in response. This is how, infamously, LLMs can end up recommending using glue to make cheese stick on pizza. It can't "know" anything.
 
Last edited:
See here:

I should have noted at the time that a yearly subscription is cheaper, at $50. After Substack's cut, Tony sees $3.75 a month. If we assume he has the minimum 10,000 paid subscribers, that's $450,000 a year.

"AI" (a large language model) works by feeding the Internet through a blender, and "answers" your questions by producing words from that soup that are statistically likely to appear in response. This is how, infamously, LLMs can end up recommending using glue to make cheese stick on pizza. It can't "know" anything.

There is exactly ZERO chance Gap Tooth is actually making that.

Here is the reason why your calclulations are laughably wrong.

SUBSCRIBE DOES NOT EQUAL PAYING

The overwhelming majority of Tony's subscribers (95% +) are in the FREE CATEGORY AND PAY NOTHING.

Like I sad, Gap Tooth is not making a dime over 5k a month.

Screenshot 2025-08-18 074907.webp
 
Last edited:
Back
Top Bottom