You could say it's already begun with governments banning puberty blockers for children and kicking troons out of women-only spaces. Hopefully the Hazelbrook incident will serve as a wake-up call to parents, because there's no way that's the only school where that's been happening.
Only thing I can't be optimistic for is my dog in the fight: all the hobby groups, online communities, and circles of friends scorched by trannies and the drama they bring. The more backlash they face IRL, the more they double down on their "literal genocide!!" rhetoric and get more people to whiteknight for them. The sympathy for them won't last forever, but I can only wonder how much longer it'll be.
The incident that comes to mind is the Loudoun county incident in Virginia, where a trans-identified student (a boy pretending to be a girl) went into the girls restroom and
anally raped a female student. The worst part of it is that the school, rightly fearing the backlash from such an incident (the school had approved a transgender bathroom policy not long before), tried to cover up the incident and pretend it never happened. It turned out this particular student had a history of sexual assault at a prior school, and the school just quietly shuffled him over to another school, like the Catholic church quietly relocates rapist priests after they get caught.
This was during the gubernatorial election in Virginia, and the Republican candidate, Glenn Youngkin, latched onto it and made it a focal point of his campaign, winning him the election. There's a lot more to the story (though, as always, you'll have to dig a little deeper, since legacy media obviously won't touch this story), but it serves as a prime example of this stuff being exposed to the public at large and changing their opinions on the gender ideology debate. There was also the Nashville school shooting only a few months ago, where a trans-man (i.e a woman) shot up a Christian private school and slaughtered a bunch of middle-schoolers.
Reality always asserts itself in the end. You can deny it all you want, you can refuse to report on it, you can sit here and tell people it's not happening until you're blue in the face, it doesn't matter; reality always asserts itself in the end. Now, my supremely, unrealistically optimist desire is for these people to be put on trial for crimes against humanity. I want to see all of these doctors and political activists pushing this insanity to be put on trial and thrown in prison. However, I know that likely will not happen. Even still, my prediction is that this will turn out the way lobotomies went, where slowly but surely people begin to realize that this treatment is horribly unethical and does nothing to help people, it gradually begins to fall out of favor, and eventually, after a couple years, future generations will look back at this the same way we look at lobotomies and go "dear Lord, how were we ever stupid enough to think that would work?"