RU Russian heavy Sarmat missile explodes during test - Russia has not had a successful ICBM test since April 2022, and has now had six failed tests in the past three months alone

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A Russian RS-28 “Sarmat” intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) reportedly exploded during a test at the Plesetsk Cosmodrome in the Arkhangelsk region, according to the OSINT project MeNMyRC.

The group released satellite images showing a large crater at the test site, providing visual evidence of the failed launch.

MeNMyRC based its conclusions on satellite imagery and flight data from U.S. reconnaissance aircraft.

“The enormous crater indicates that the missile detonated in the silo, destroying the test range,” an expert stated.

Additional satellite data from NOAA-20 and SUOMI NPP also confirmed a fire in the area. NOAA-20 and the SUOMI NPP satellites have detected two instances of the fire as they crossed the area in their orbits. However, there’s no way to determine from this data alone if the fire is incidental to the launch or caused by a failed launch near the pad.

The RS-28 “Sarmat,” known as the “Satan II” in the West, is designed to carry multiple nuclear warheads over long distances. The missile reportedly exploded in its launch silo, damaging the site and infrastructure. While the missile was not equipped with a warhead due to the test nature of the launch, the crater size suggests a catastrophic failure.

The only successful launch of new Russian missile occurred on April 20, 2022.

According to a report from CNBC, the longest test flight of the “Sarmat” lasted just over two minutes, covering a distance of 35 kilometers before it lost control and crashed.

In 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the missile to be placed on combat duty, a directive that was reportedly fulfilled in September 2023. The Sarmat is a key element of Russia’s strategic nuclear program, and the destruction of the test site could have broader implications for its development.

It remains unclear whether the recent incident was a failed launch attempt or part of a fueling exercise. A more detailed analysis of the readiness of ground services, particularly at the Kura test range, could provide additional insights. However, access to higher-resolution satellite imagery of these areas is currently unavailable.
 
All those were just for the new missile though, right? What about their older ones?
It does not bode well for their old missiles. Missiles are consumables. Fuel corrodes fuel tanks. If regular maintenance is not done there will be misfires. If their new missiles aren't launching well that does not speak kindly of Russian maintenance crews.
 
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June 4th.
Edit: They actually did another one 2 days later on June 6th, then another on August 17th, and another on September 6th. All successful.

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Yeah the US tests very frequently. And we are quite good at it. They don't blow up in the silos. Because we actually maintain our equipment and don't cut corners.
 
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The thing you have to know about the US Military is that they test the shit out of everything, especially if it's critical to our strategic systems like ICBMs, bombers, etc., and we are always looking at ways to make things better. That's why the Patriot Missile system went from being an acceptable system with some issues to being one of the best air defense systems available. We are always looking to improve and expand the capabilities of our systems.

When we do war games they are always planned out so that the deck is heavily stacked against us, or that we will just outright lose, because that is how you learn to be better. Remember about a year or two back there were news stories about how a European fighter (I think a Typhoon or EuroFighter) got a kill on an F-22 during war games and all our enemies ran news stories about it, claiming the F-22 wasn't as good as the US says it is? Yeah, they got a kill on an F-22 because it was planned that way. When Russia and China plan war games they do so in a way where they have all the advantages and are all but guaranteed to win, which is why you get news stories about how China has ran all these war games and scenarios about invading Taiwan and they all show victory for China.

The US always understates it's capabilities while China and Russia always overstate theirs. For YEARS Russia claimed the S400 air defense missile system was the best in the world, nothing could defeat it, and it could track and shoot down Fifth Gen fighters like the F-22 and F-35. Then they invade Ukraine and suddenly S400 systems are getting BTFO'd by shit it should be able to detect and shoot down, like small drones and UAVs. Or the Moskva getting turned into a new coral reef by a couple of bog standard anti-ship missiles when it's triple layered air defense system should have been able to shoot down those ASMs at any range.
 
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Last I heard Russian soldiers don't even wear real socks. They just wrap their feet in rags.
 
Reminds me of what zeihan said about russia's technical education system collapsing in the mid 80's meaning that most of the people they have to build and maintain their state-of-the-art equipment is in their sixties now with no replacements, which explains how they could do a flying Flanker prototype in 7 years back then but can't even make the Felon's canopy without bubbles in the glass now and that thing has been in development for what, 25 years?.

Then again zeihan tends to say some dumb stuff sometimes so IDK.
Zeihan says a LOT of stupid fucking shit.

Russia can make airplanes, missiles, and so on. They can even design modern microchips and make older ones.

The Russian MiC was DEAD for 10 years from 1992 till about 2002.

Then Russia realized that their military was gigantic for the size of their population yet cutting the military would have been extremely unpopular.

So their modernization drives focused on newer aircraft and subs and then the surface fleet and finally the Army.

That's why the Russian army is still using 1980s gear with newer sights for the most part as that's what could be afforded.

The Russian Army WANTED brand new AFV families, one light and one heavy and new wheeled AFVs and trucks.

They actually got the trucks and some armored cars and MRAPS.... Everything was deemed too expensive.

The Su-57's issue is that it's engine is late, the AL-51. It's a generational leap and NPO Saturn is about 5 years behind schedule although from what they've reported it's essentially ready now.

Meanwhile the Su-30/34/35 are all in active production and work fine and the Su-30 was a massive export success.

This exploding ICBM is one of these new ones Russia uses, and it's the silo based one.

It does not bode well for their old missiles. Missiles are consumables. Fuel corrodes fuel tanks. If regular maintenance is not done there will be misfires. If their new missiles aren't launching well that does not speak kindly of Russian maintenance crews.
The Topol-M, Yars, and Bulava both work a ok.
 
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