Severe Weather outbreaks

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CFC-12 said:
At this point I refuse to believe this. I REFUSE to believe any of this. This CANNOT fucking be possible. Eye pressure of 871mb and 185 knot winds are you KIDDING me.
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213 mph!
Is this the most powerful Atlantic hurricane?
 
CFC-12 said:
At this point I refuse to believe this. I REFUSE to believe any of this. This CANNOT fucking be possible. Eye pressure of 871mb and 185 knot winds are you KIDDING me.
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indomitable snowman said:
213 mph!
Is this the most powerful Atlantic hurricane?
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Dvorak numbers are not actual wind or pressure measurements. It's a semi-subjective estimate based on previous patterns of hurricane structure.
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You really start to split hairs when you get to a T8 and above. I can't even find a Dvorak depiction of what a T8.5 supposedly looks like, because it's only generated in the computer analysis and as far as I know, was never officially defined by humans.

It's basically an AI trying to guess hurricane intensity solely off being fed satellite images. Because the Dvorak system is based on common patterns, and hurricanes of this strength are so rare, it has very little training data to rely on. It's a very useful tool, but I consider those estimates to be bullshit, especially when the actual recon/dropsonde data contradicts it.

Personally, I think the 185mph/899mb dropsonde reading from earlier is likely its peak. That already puts it in the top 10 all time in the Atlantic. It's a monster regardless.
 
CFC-12 said:
If anything is emblematic of just how woefully unprepared Jamaica is for a storm of this magnitude, it's this.
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I should've mentioned this in my last post but I don't think people point out enough how Jamaicans culturally as a whole don't really take anything seriously when facing a problem and only jokes about it and then only hit the panic button after shit hits the fan. Reading reddit and tiktok has me pretty convinced the average American (which this news has barely existed in America) is more rightfully concerned than the people of the country who is literally about to be permanently altered for the worst.
 
4 of the 'See Jamaica' cameras have gone offline. The water is coming up on Flat bridge at an impressive rate and there is a power line throwing sparks on the Barbican cam. This thing is going to bend them over and raw dog them into oblivion isn't it?

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For The Lulz said:
This thing is going to bend them over and raw dog them into oblivion isn't it?
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Probably.
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Most recent HAFS-A simulation predicts a direct body shot right to the center of the island. If this holds, there's no safe place on the island, just varying degrees of dangerous. NOAA is planning on a final run before landfall, so I'm hoping to see some final data on surface speeds.

By the way, can we get a round of applause for the absolute fucking champions that are crewing Kermit and Miss Piggy without getting paid for going on a month now?
 
mindlessobserver said:
Depending on how robust the Jamaican Army and Police are, there is a possibility of Anarchic conditions setting in very quickly as desperate people of African persuasion realize that the police wont be coming and everything not nailed down is essentially free. Then there is the issue of how prepared they are with survival food and water stockpiles.
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Jamaica has one of the top murder rates in the world during good times so I'm sure it's going to turn into a shitshow that rivals Mogadishu if this thing doesn't miraculously swing further west.
 
The harbour cam is shaking like a shitting dog. Still seeing random cars still moving around, the crazy bastards. O Lawd she comin'. God speed, Jamaica. :semperfidelis:
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I glow in the dark said:
There is no fucking way thousands of people won't die from this, I have yet to see anything helping on this storm, and everything is just perfect for the worst possible conditions on top of Jamaica being an island that is very mountainous and has a lot of open quarry mines meaning flood water will stay around for DAYS. I think Jamaica is going to be permanently fucked as a country and people are being optimistic thinking recovery will take months.
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Yeah it’s going to be cataclysmic. At least the most populated and poorest areas are on the other side of the island. But still, lots of resorts, mines, and sugar plantations. It’ll fuck up the economy. Lots of flooding from the storm surge near the coast, and inland there’ll be landslides and flooding from the rain.

CFC-12 said:
90 pound white woman on a solo trip to Mumbai
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Drunk 90 pound white woman stumbling around Tivoli Gardens during the witching hour.
Cuck and hotwife couple during Cuck Week at Hedo II.
Batty boy who just landed in Toronto and claimed refugee status.

No jokes aside it’s gonna be bad but at least Kingston isn’t taking a direct hit.
 
A Cardboard Box said:
By the way, can we get a round of applause for the absolute fucking champions that are crewing Kermit and Miss Piggy without getting paid for going on a month now?
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Those pilots are the real fuckin' deal, the genuine article, and have balls so fucking massive I'm surprised they can even walk. For a fun experiment, open up a flight simulator of your choice [FSX, X-Plane, MSFS2020 or 2024, your pick] and get out a joystick and a freeware P-3 Orion [the turboprop these guys use to barrel through a hurricane's eyewall] and give it a shot. Either load up real world/real time weather data [possible on most flight sims] or set the weather to similar conditions, crank up the realism settings and just try to even keep the aircraft level under those conditions. I've done it several times in FSX, I think the last one I flew into was Ian, and it's fucking impossible to even keep the plane level, let alone navigate toward a waypoint or destination. That's in a simulator - with no real danger. Hell, watch some videos taken aboard the ship when they're flying through the eyewall - dudes are getting bounced around like a shaken baby and don't even bat an eyelid at it.


Those dudes have brass balls, no doubt about it.
 
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