- Joined
- Dec 12, 2022
To pull from my American history, our economic situation when we separated from you guys... was fucked. States were joined only by the "articles of confederation", which basically meant that theyd fight with eachother if we were attacked, but not much else. Everyone had separate currencies, most of the world didnt want to trade with us, it was nuts until we scrapped it and came up with the Constitution. Technically the government you see today in the US is the 2.0. Version.@Spunt when you say Schengen, I think you're meaning the European Economic Area, which developed alongside the EU as a part of the European Free Trade Agreement.
Also this:
This is absolutely not true. It appears nowhere in any of the relevant clauses of the treaties of the european union regarding a member state's secession from the union and was invented out of whole cloth at the start of the negotiations. Nobody is quite sure why they made it up, but I suspect it's actually one of the first things that was negotiated by May's team. One last laying of blame for a government's idiotic decision at the feet of the EU, and a way to stick it to the people who voted for Parliament to actually do its fucking job for a change.
edit for context: Article 50 only states that negotations for leaving the Union shall take place in accordance with article 218(3) of the consolidated treaties. 218 makes no mention of a requirement for at timeline, deadline, or plan of any sort. There is nothing within the acquis that specifies deadlines or timelines for the negotiation of treaties between the EU and third countries, other than what is decided by the EU and the other negotiating parties.
May was a remainer. I'm convinced she did everything she could to sabotage the negotiations, in the hope that people would demand a return to the EU. It's the only thing that explains all of the retarded decisions she pushed.
I voted leave at the time, on the belief that a win for remain would have settled the matter just about permanently, giving the EU time to complete its hollowing out and demolition of our national institutions. However, for the entire campaign (and for years beforehand), I maintained to everyone I interacted with that the result of leave should be at least 20 years of negotiations (because it took more than 40 years of incremental changes to get here), with the first act being to shift sideways from the European Union into the European Economic Area. This would maintain our membership of the Single Market, which removed trade barriers between member states, but release us from the Customs Union, which would mean that we'd have more leeway on what enters the UK from outside. That would have given us the ability to increase and improve our trade connections with the commonwealth and other countries. We would probably have had to negotiate some form of country-of-origin paperwork for goods that weren't compliant with the EU's import standards, but that would have been peanuts compared to what we have now.
It would take decades to properly untangle the miles of regulatory tape that have wrapped up every aspect of life in this country. It would take just as long for our leaders to learn how to govern again.
The real issue, which is never addressed in any debate on the topic, is this: What does the UK want to be in the future? Leaving the EU is meaningless if we have no plan for afterwards. AS things stand right now, we just float off into the Atlantic and then... sink, I guess (something I'm sure a lot of kiwis would celebrate), or become a useless backwater on the periphery of the world. England became the industrial powerhouse of the world because of its unique geographical position and resources. The UK is a sea trading nation. We have all sorts of geographical advantages, at least some local talent, and the commonwealth. Ours is the language of commerce and trade. We invented half the shit the world uses.
We could have looked at all that and begun to plan a future free of the EU, a positive goal to reach toward rather than the negative "end it all and burn the laws", but all we got from Boris, from Farage, from any public face of the leave campaigns was "lower taxes, no immigants, bendy bananas and a pint". They had no vision for anything other than their next grift. There has been no coherent vision of what this country should be for forty years or more. Just a sucession of mean, petty tyrants who wanted the trappings of office and the cushy sinecures that come after, but had no interest in improving the lot of the working man, and who in fact were utterly hostile to the idea of the plebs having more freedom and prosperity.
My point is, your situation is not unique. It is survivable, but you'll need strong men to take the reigns and flex what power you have with the rest of the world to get what you want like we had to.