- Joined
- Jan 16, 2017
- Highlight
- #801
Everything is in place for a complete meltdown of the Labour party during this parliament. The weird combination of a huge majority and really low popularity will embolden various troublemakers. There's loads of potential flashpoints - Gaza, nationalisation, troons, the EU and more, any or all of which could foment rebellions and factionalism. Starmer is a ruthless disciplinarian who will stop at nothing to keep the Left quiet, but there's so many of them both in and out of the party (such as the Islamist independents and Corbyn) that they could outright split off into some kind of socialist pro-Palestine bloc led by Corbyn and probably incorporating the Greens. Alternatively the Left could go for Starmer himself and try to depose him.It really can't be overstated how utterly ridiculous this election is from a "democratic legitimacy" perspective. In terms of seats, this is one of the biggest landslides in recent history, and yet by every possible metric, the Labour party is deeply unpopular from the outset. In terms of the proportion of popular vote won, this is one of Labour's worst rejections in its history. They gained a measly 33% of the vote, in an election with an anaemic <60% turnout. Of the people that have decided to register to vote, only about 1 in 5 went out and voted for the Labour party. Even of those, how many actually did it because they like the Labour party and what it stands for, rather than tactically voting to get rid of the most corrupt, incompetent, scummy incarnation of the Tory party in living memory? Jeremy Corbyn, the previous Labour leader that Keir Starmer kicked out of the party, won back his seat in Islington by a huge margin to beat the new Labour party candidate. That's a huge kick in the teeth in itself, and I think a harbinger of the fact that, despite a giant majority, this Labour party isn't going to be able to hold itself together. It has a massive far-left faction that hate the guts of Starmer and will definitely break ranks to try and take him down.
Starmer also faces the problem that the country is completely fucked, well beyond his ability to repair (at least within his ideological constraints). The British state is basically bankrupt after Covid so there's no money to do anything. He's pretty much doomed to fail, and if he tries anything too radical (like actually reforming the NHS) his party will rebel. The public have very low confidence in him, he has won this election just by not being Rishi Sunak, but unfortunately not being Rishi Sunak does not help you govern or seek re-election as an incumbent in a country that's spent a decade lurching from crisis to crisis.
If Labour fall apart then the 2029 election is going to be a farce on an even greater scale than this one. The Tories are unlikely to get their act together, fuck knows what Farage is going to be like as a parliamentarian or whether Reform will even exist by then. You'll have an election where none of the parties are electable and pretty much any outcome is possible, none of them good.
She was a mediocre foreign secretary, but more importantly it was widely known, at least within the Conservative party, that she was both a narcissistic egomaniac and a fucking idiot, and no doubt her many enemies briefed the newspapers about this as part of their plotting against her. Her election as party leader was chaotic and it was a decent bet that she wouldn't last, given the ongoing chaos in government that culminated in Boris Johnson's ludicrous attempts to cling to power in the face of all logic and reason.did Truss have a history of incompetence in her political career? The fact that the Daily Star made such a confident bet on her tenure as Prime Minister seems to indicate so. .