2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[Ponchik]

Right now he can't. He NEEDS the ability to bypass the media. Twitter is intentionally playing chicken with him as a desperate attempt to kneecap him as much as they can without invoking a response.

I do so hope he skullfucks them into the ground in December, though.

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And NOBODY can tell me he couldn't do it if he had the will to do so.

lol stonetoss is perpetually thirsty for trans furry girldick

What I want more than anything is for politics and the news media to become boring again.

Right now, its just a goddamn shit show that never stops and panders to rambling morons.

If they become boring and straightforward again, it'll be followed by smart and mature people on both sides and leave the fringe idiots out of the mix.

But no way in fuck any of that is happening any time soon.

clown world is unimaginably exhausting and i also want nothing more than for journos and pedowood to stfu, buuuut at the same time i won't be satisfied until the elitist, radioactive us mass media machine gets fucking obliterated and the term "24-hour news cycle" becomes a historical footnote. the msm was only "boring" under obama because the establishment had washington under lock and key. they're not going to stop spewing demoralizing agitprop until they get their way, and that shit's going to happen if creepy joe's caretakers somehow manage to spam enough graveyard votes. then assuming everything goes according to plan (even if biden DOES win i doubt it will), everything'll be set up for 8 glorious years of kween kamala and the media spooks will be convinced that the latter half of the 2010s were a total fluke.

i don't care if i have to endure 4 more years of ebil old orangutan man or if the planets align and danish mommy jorgensen + spike from mlp somehow win, all i want for christmas is a decisive harris loss

 

[MrJokerRager]

GEOTUS in 4K.

To see black republicans to go from race traitor jokes like Key & Peele portrayed them or the cucked corny 1990s Carlton Banks version to something with some soul is amazing. Trump has definitly brought out more black republicans than in previous years.

Trump Barbie looking sexy as always. I wonder if GEOTUS ever did a threesome with her and Hope Hicks.

Desouza gives his thoughts on GOP aggression.

Trump landing back at the white house.

Some Trump Promos.

He makes great videos.

People thanking Donald Trump.

Fox News is butthurt over Trump withdrawing troops.

 

[ditto]

The issue I have with Nate Plastic is that he acts as a smug pundit that pretends to be better than other pundits because he throws some data around.

Nate Thulium pretends to be data-driven but then says shit like "Trump has never had particularly good instincts for winning general elections" and other mind-reading bs. He's canny enough to know the democrats use him as a tailsman and that gives him a cushy NYT job and social circle.

 

[StarkRavingMad]

I wonder which state is gonna be the “Wisconsin” for me this time? I had my eye on Michigan but Wisconsin was the biggest shock and I never thought I’d see that in my life.

My candidates

- Maryland (thanks to Klacik)
- Delaware
- Oregon
- Yes, even New York.

Minnesota has a higher than 50% for Trump in my opinion. I’m talking about Big surprises, so New Hampshire and the rest of Maine have a higher chance too.

-I simply do not see Maryland going to Trump. It's basically the bluest state on the East Coast. State legislation is disproportionately Democrat because of the wild gerrymandering that goes on there. It's nothing short of a miracle that Larry Hogan won his two races for governor. Klacik could have a chance to win Baltimore, but for a statewide election? Nah, it's going hard blue again.

-Delaware is likely to go for Biden, given that it's his home state, but DE is slowly but surely becoming a "retirement state" with all of its beaches. With the state increasingly becoming "Boomer Land," I think there's a possibility that it could go red. I still anticipate for Biden to win it pretty comfortably, though ... Especially if I had to put money on it.

-Oregon ... I don't see that happening because of the cities. The GOP may gain some seats from that state though; in the more rural areas, that is.

-Trump winning New York would be a miracle. Don't get me wrong, I anticipate for him to do better this time around compared to 2016, but I don't think it will be close. I do, however, find it very interesting that Trump's campaign was putting some focus on the state, and that he now has the support of the Orthodox Jews in New York (lots of people waving Trump flags in that lockdown protest in Brooklyn the other night ...).

Does anyone know if the Trump Campaign is still putting forth campaign efforts in New York? I heard about it months ago, but I haven't heard anything else about it, so I wouldn't be shocked if the Trump campaign pulled their focus from it. If they did, then the state is most certainly going to Biden.

 

[he who has thus come/gone]

Does anyone know if the Trump Campaign is still putting forth campaign efforts in New York? I heard about it months ago, but I haven't heard anything else about it, so I wouldn't be shocked if the Trump campaign pulled their focus from it. If they did, then the state is most certainly going to Biden.

They really don't have the money to put into anywhere besides the states they need to win (Florida, NC, Arizona, Pennsylvania) with some good pickups (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin). I think Trump doing a rally generates a lot more press than just pumping money into the state (like doing another rally in New Hampshire would be worth a million dollar ad-buy, I would hazard). Ads only get you so much, though, so what he needs to spend money on are data and ground game. Biden can plaster millions of dollars worth of ads on Florida or Texas television, but that isn't going to help him win the presidency in the end. If only Brad Parscale were a better manager...at least Trump recognizes when his employees are fucking up, unlike Biden who has a team of interns, it seems, running everything. I remember the MSM salivating at stories about the 3 different managers his campaign had in 2016, saying "Look at this disastrous campaign! What a joke! I'm with HER!" How did that turn out, you losers?

 

[Doctor of Autism]

They really don't have the money to put into anywhere besides the states they need to win (Florida, NC, Arizona, Pennsylvania) with some good pickups (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin). I think Trump doing a rally generates a lot more press than just pumping money into the state (like doing another rally in New Hampshire would be worth a million dollar ad-buy, I would hazard). Ads only get you so much, though, so what he needs to spend money on are data and ground game. Biden can plaster millions of dollars worth of ads on Florida or Texas television, but that isn't going to help him win the presidency in the end. If only Brad Parscale were a better manager...at least Trump recognizes when his employees are fucking up, unlike Biden who has a team of interns, it seems, running everything. I remember the MSM salivating at stories about the 3 different managers his campaign had in 2016, saying "Look at this disastrous campaign! What a joke! I'm with HER!" How did that turn out, you losers?

I really don't get the Biden will win Texas meme since in 2018, it shows that they are still willing to vote for Republicans. Abbott won by double digits, and Cruz won by a narrow margin over Beta (Reminder that Cruz is considered more unlikeable than Trump which says a lot about Cruz).

Biden winning the state is unlikely and it doesn't help he seems more fixated on Arizona and Pennsylvania than Texas.

 

[CrippleThreat]

Yet another endorsement from the Blue.

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1314764977597755392

 

[captkrisma]

Biden winning Texas is not going to happen. Beto tried winning Senate from Ted Cruz, got support (read: MONEY) from Hollywood, spent millions on his campaign, and STILL lost.

Biden ain't gonna do it.

 

[legalkochi]

I really don't get the Biden will win Texas meme since in 2018, it shows that they are still willing to vote for Republicans. Abbott won by double digits, and Cruz won by a narrow margin over Beta (Reminder that Cruz is considered more unlikeable than Trump which says a lot about Cruz).

Biden winning the state is unlikely and it doesn't help he seems more fixated on Arizona and Pennsylvania than Texas.

Biden winning Texas is not going to happen. Beto tried winning Senate from Ted Cruz, got support (read: MONEY) from Hollywood, spent millions on hos campaign, and STILL lost.

Biden ain't gonna do it.

I do find it interesting how quite a few Hispanic-majority counties in Texas, particularly in the Rio Grande Valley had the Republicans significantly having better margins each election cycle since 2016, usually by three percentage points or so. It does seem like a sign that the Hispanics there are undergoing a political realignment, therefore being another reason why the Democrats will not win Texas anytime soon.

Maybe it doesn't amount to any, but it's so weird to see counties like Maverick (where Eagle Pass is at) or Webb (home to Laredo) showing vigorous support for Trump on the ground and both counties managing to have revitalized local Republican parties.

Also, a Texas Republican Party that's now led by Allen West pretty much will keep the state red. He seems to be a much more efficient chairman than the last dude whose name I've already forgotten.

 

[Kari Kamiya]

Our mail-in ballots finally came in today, but this is also the first week for early voting. Unless the whole family decides to go all in one day for early voting, I'm most likely waiting for election day. I live in a county that hasn't enforced the mask mandate (but leaves that up to individual businesses), and the nearby church building will be one of our district's polling places. I just have to walk down there and I'd be in-and-out of there in minutes (if there's no line) and as a plus, my face won't have to be covered much like during the primaries. Win-win.

I just can't wait for November to come and go, this has been too long of a year and I'm so done. But watch the crazies try to cancel Christmas like some have for Halloween.

 

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https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1314740432518045696

 

[RedStorm]

Polls were pretty accurate in 2018. I doubt Texas goes for Biden, but if it does by some strange happenstance, Trump is in big trouble.

EDIT: Whoops, put mail fraud text in this window by mistake

False, there were numerous misses. Off the top of my head, Fox News had a giant pro-Democrat miss in Indiana. They had Donnelly+7, final result was Braun+6. That's a 13 point miss that overestimated the Democrat.

Quinnipiac had Gillum and Nelson around +7 over their opponents, but the current governor of Florida is Ron DeSantis and the Florida Senator who isn't Marco Rubio is Rick Scott.

In numerous cases, even when the Democrat won, like Sherrod Brown in Ohio or Debbie Stabenow in Michigan, the results at the end were far more pro-Republican than what polls over the course of the year showed. Note that Trafalgar, one of the most accurate pollsters, overestimated Stabenow(D) by 2 points and overestimated Cordray(D) by around 8 points. This year Trafalgar has had Trump either ahead of Biden in Michigan or just behind by a point - because it's possible that they could be *overestimating Biden* this time around (because they overestimated Stabenow in 2018 ), a poll that has Biden ahead by one means that Trump has a great shot of winning it.

Richard Baris who had one of the better FL polls in 2018, has Trump ahead in Florida right now.

And applying the same kinds of polling error seen before in states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin show that Trump could be ahead in them *right now.* In fact, he arguably was *NOT AHEAD* in those states at this same point in time in 2016 (remember, this was shortly after the Hollywood Access tape). Trump overall is literally doing better than he was in 2016 in terms of the electoral college, and quite possibly in terms of the popular vote. The issue is that in 2016 there were also multiple national polls with double digit Hillary leads, it's just at the end they herded using more reasonable samples (possibly to try saving their own ass). For instance, ABC/Washington Post went from Hillary+12 to Hillary+3 in a very short time span. Even in this cycle, ABC/Washington Post had a Biden+16 poll in October (or November?) 2019, only to have another poll just a few months later showing a close race.

 

[he who has thus come/gone]

It does seem like a sign that the Hispanics there are undergoing a political realignment, therefore being another reason why the Democrats will not win Texas anytime soon.

I'd say it's political maturation which reads as realignment. Similar to Irish or Italians that were the mainstay of dems back in the day, but eventually just became white like everyone else. Hispanics aren't like black people—they exist all over the economic and social spectrum, and some families (like in Texas) that are read as just more "Mexicans" by racist dems have been in this country since the 1800s. Why the hell would they vote like ghetto blacks and illegal Guatemalan immigrants? It only makes sense if you look just at skin colour.

Things are realigning/maturing much more quickly due to Trump, but I would point out things like BLM as well. It's a white liberal's wet dream that blacks and muslims and latinos can all sing Kumbaya around the campfire and vote blue, but I guarantee normal Latino families see through a lot of the democrat bullshit like embracing illegal immigration and giving full support to Burn Loot Murder. Hell, white liberals can't even see the difference between Nigerian immigrants and blacks descended from slaves—they're all just black, right? Trump is accelerating all of this by pushing, seemingly single-handedly, for a multi-ethnic populist and working class-heavy Republican base that doesn't care about colour or religion or anything else, unlike the Christian right of the Bush days. If Trump wins again, expect the Republican party to be dragged kicking and screaming into a new age. That will have major implications for the country and avoid the "demographics is destiny" bullshit dems have been counting on for decades. Also why we need to stop illegal immigration (most immigration, really). Let the Latinos prosper and realize dems want them poor and "otherized" for all eternity. Then they'll start voting more red. It will have trickle-down effects in places like the Rust Belt, where Latinos may not be the largest group, but they're enough to swing elections by a few points.

 

[make_it_so]

I'd say it's political maturation which reads as realignment. Similar to Irish or Italians that were the mainstay of dems back in the day, but eventually just became white like everyone else. Hispanics aren't like black people—they exist all over the economic and social spectrum, and some families (like in Texas) that are read as just more "Mexicans" by racist dems have been in this country since the 1800s. Why the hell would they vote like ghetto blacks and illegal Guatemalan immigrants? It only makes sense if you look just at skin colour.

Things are realigning/maturing much more quickly due to Trump, but I would point out things like BLM as well. It's a white liberal's wet dream that blacks and muslims and latinos can all sing Kumbaya around the campfire and vote blue, but I guarantee normal Latino families see through a lot of the democrat bullshit like embracing illegal immigration and giving full support to Burn Loot Murder. Hell, white liberals can't even see the difference between Nigerian immigrants and blacks descended from slaves—they're all just black, right? Trump is accelerating all of this by pushing, seemingly single-handedly, for a multi-ethnic populist and working class-heavy Republican base that doesn't care about colour or religion or anything else, unlike the Christian right of the Bush days. If Trump wins again, expect the Republican party to be dragged kicking and screaming into a new age. That will have major implications for the country and avoid the "demographics is destiny" bullshit dems have been counting on for decades. Also why we need to stop illegal immigration (most immigration, really). Let the Latinos prosper and realize dems want them poor and "otherized" for all eternity. Then they'll start voting more red. It will have trickle-down effects in places like the Rust Belt, where Latinos may not be the largest group, but they're enough to swing elections by a few points.

This is one of the reasons the whole "Coming Democratic Majority" that the Left embraced during the Obama years was very short-sighted. It assumed that ID-Pol uniting minorities against a hated outgroup (white conservatives) could last forever, completely discounting both local economic and cultural shifts that could occur within members of their coalition and thus shift their political allegiance, as well as ignoring friction between member groups of the coalition. It also assumed that the Republicans wouldn't or couldn't attempt to counter it the way Trump has been doing.

 

[GuntPunt]

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https://tw.tinf.io/Cernovich/status/1314740432518045696

>Posting Thernovith unironically
Even if he is telling some truth here, he is an emotional grifter who knows nothing besides whats in front of him. Changes his mind every week to play favorites and cozy up to the winning side to peddle shitty books and movies. Basically a female Ann Coulter. Fuck him.

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This is one of the reasons the whole "Coming Democratic Majority" that the Left embraced during the Obama years was very short-sighted. It assumed that ID-Pol uniting minorities against a hated outgroup (white conservatives) could last forever, completely discounting both local economic and cultural shifts that could occur within members of their coalition and thus shift their political allegiance, as well as ignoring friction between member groups of the coalition. It also assumed that the Republicans wouldn't or couldn't attempt to counter it the way Trump has been doing.

To be fair, if you look at Never Trump, Conservative Inc, and the Neo-Cons... they probably were spot on. As far as I can tell, the GOP leadership's entire goal in life was to slowly scuttle the GOP so that the Neo-Liberals could control the left and keep Globalhomo: US Branch on track. Trump fucked up the plan.

 

[MrJokerRager]

>Posting Thernovith unironically
Even if he is telling some truth here, he is an emotional grifter who knows nothing besides whats in front of him. Changes his mind every week to play favorites and cozy up to the winning side to peddle shitty books and movies. Basically a female Ann Coulter. Fuck him.
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Wasn't he exposed as a hypocrite when he went after James Gunn for some obvious joke tweets?

 

[Doctor of Autism]

>Posting Thernovith unironically
Even if he is telling some truth here, he is an emotional grifter who knows nothing besides whats in front of him. Changes his mind every week to play favorites and cozy up to the winning side to peddle shitty books and movies. Basically a female Ann Coulter. Fuck him.
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Cernovich and people like him (such as Ben Shapiro) are of the same ilk that will pander to Republicans or people that can see the truth but pander to the other side on occasion to get prominence. It's sad that a sunday comic cartoonist is much more insightful on elections than pundits

Wasn't he exposed as a hypocrite when he went after James Gunn for some obvious joke tweets?

Yep and it was some dumb shit. The only good that came out of it was Movieblob's tantrum. But ironically that backfired given Gunn now has a job in both DC and Marvel.

 

[Aldeland]

I'd Like to take a moment out of the thread to thank everyone who keeps renaming Nate Herkimer Diamond every time they mention him. It gets a small chuff every time.

 

[The Pink Panther]

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https://tw.tinf.io/Cernovich/status/1314740432518045696

Did it though?