Hurricane Milton

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Drop Sonde from Mission 14 recorded 927 MB central pressure. Its starting to drop again. Should also note 927 MB with a closed eye is pretty fucking nuts.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml

He’s losing steam fast.

The dichotomy of shitposting on the internet.

 

[mindlessobserver]

He’s losing steam fast. Hopefully the storm surge predictions start dropping.

No, he's finishing up a replacement cycle. He's going to get stronger and bigger over the next 12 hours. The uncertainty is what happens tomorrow on final approach. He is definitely going to weaken, but we don't know by how much.

 

[Chuck McGill]

I never really paid much attention to stuff happening in the US for most of my life, so maybe I am wrong, but doesn't it feel like there's been A LOT of more horrible natural disasters and hurricanes? Or is this just normal for Floridians? I wonder if eventually some areas will just become uninhabitable because they will keep getting hit by storms and floods...

The hurricanes are admittedly poorly timed, but about par for the course for a particularly heavy hurricane season. Florida usually gets trashed once or twice per season, we just don't bother reporting on it much unless they got  really schwacked. As someone that lives in a hurricane area, what surprises me is how late in the season these big storms are occurring, normally you're through the worst of it by September.

 

[ovenmath]

I never really paid much attention to stuff happening in the US for most of my life, so maybe I am wrong, but doesn't it feel like there's been A LOT of more horrible natural disasters and hurricanes? Or is this just normal for Floridians? I wonder if eventually some areas will just become uninhabitable because they will keep getting hit by storms and floods...

This is par for the course in Florida. Big hurricanes happen pretty frequently, though they don't always head straight for major population centers.

Florida folks have hurricane parties and drink beer for most hurricanes. We're numb to it, mostly, and lots of people just assume that it will miss them last.minute.

Extreme development has cause the financial damages caused by hurricanes to increase dramatically in the last few decades, because rich people spend millions of dollars building lavish beach houses.

 

[George Lucas]

No, he's finishing up a replacement cycle. He's going to get stronger and bigger over the next 12 hours. The uncertainty is what happens tomorrow on final approach. He is definitely going to weaken, but we don't know by how much.

Nope. He got too close to Mexico. That energy lost doesn’t magically come back.

 

[Disaffected Coyote]

Milton continues to show an impressively structured eye. I wouldn't surprised if the pressure has dropped a little.

 

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Nope. He got too close to Mexico. That energy lost doesn’t magically come back.

You're not real.

 

[Lian Xing]

Nope. He got too close to Mexico. That energy lost doesn’t magically come back.

SSTs are 30+ °C. There is plenty of available energy.

 

[XYZpdq Jr.]

That was before FL really beefed up their modifications to the IRC. New construction since then has higher design wind speeds.

yeah, Andrew happened to hit a MESS of new construction, and in the wake of the storm they hella beefed up the codes

I've seen models where the storm surge pushes into rivers and canals, it's really nasty.

that's not uncommon. I recall a storm or few back people off the suchandsuch waterway were posting videos of how their backyards were now part of the waterway, and manatees were swimming up and eating their bushes

It has been raining long enough and the humidity has been high enough for long enough as a result that I have to re-do all the caulk on my windows and doors. I hope people are okay and all that, but hopefully one positive from this big bastard rolling through will be things finally drying up a bit holy shit. I feel like I've been living underwater for a whole fucking month.

Honestly it's not that bad compared to Australia.

Australia is basically Florida Super Hardcore Mode

Who would win, Florida Man or FEMA chopper?

Florida Man. We have a rich history of targeting choppers with lasers for funsies, upgrading what we aim isn't a boggle.

Central Florida bros. Shpuld we be evacuating?

if you're low-lying or a trailer or one of the other easy "yes" then yes, otherwise probably not? "Central FL" can be a lot of different stuff and surprisingly different elevations

>pronunciation guide
>explains how to pronounce nothing whatsoever
sasuga, feds

What you are missing is what has happened recently in advance of Milton. Look up Miami rainfall and flooding…

not just Miami, Orlando-ish has been getting a mess of rain the past week or so two, so hopefully Milton blasts through and bails quick

I don't know if anyone's mentioned it, but part of the shit show most people don't consider is the abrupt human migration experienced by the entire gulf coast.

I-4 was a total mess heading into Orlando yesterday, I-75 and the Turnpike north, too

 

[XYZpdq Jr.]

https://fl511.com/

if anybody wants live video this has traffic cams throughout the state

 

[Got Milk!]

Florida folks have hurricane parties and drink beer for most hurricanes.

He's in St. Pete

 

[W00K #17]

Finally convinced my friend to GTFO before this one hits. Brah got lucky and was just a few miles away from the major damage with Helene. I was able to at least convince him to pack a fuck off bag and check into a motel 10 miles from the coast for this one, although I'd get way farther myself.

Good luck everyone I wish everyone in the path stays safe and is ok.

 

[CFC-12]

Nope. He got too close to Mexico. That energy lost doesn’t magically come back.

It absolutely does. Hurricanes get their energy out of the sea surface, with all that heat and moisture. With a large portion of the storm over the comparatively dry Yucatan, especially at night, it's losing energy because it can't suck up any of that heat or moisture from land. Now that Milton's back over the toasty warm Gulf of Mexico we can expect it to reintensify somewhat.

The question now is how much strength he'll regain, or if he's gonna lose energy and speed as he approaches Florida.

 

[Peepeepoopoo Witch]

Any thoughts of it’ll affect the election? I’m thinking another display of federal incompetence can’t be good for the dems.

If the last decade has taught me anything, it's that committed Dems will  always vote for anyone DNC propaganda tells them to. Saner/more centrist voters might change their mind though.

 

[Gruntgar The Indentured]

If anyone has any good youtubers that put a lot of interesting coverage on this please share it with me. I can't stand listening to a forecaster repeat "This is bad" "This is dangerous" a thousand times without it losing my attention where as I'm positive there are some really solid sources of interesting coverage by hobbyists and storm chasers who can inject a bit more energy into the reporting. Any and all suggestions are greatly appreciated, thanks!

This lady has some interesting videos from time to time on these sorts of subjects. I've also enjoyed her reporting on the increased seismic activity beneath Campi Flegrei (Naples supervolcano).

 

[AllieKat]

Boarded my house up today. I don't have an evac zone and I'm at around 50 feet above sea level at my part of the peninsula. Windows secured. Water? 20 gallons for myself and a dog. Plenty of food and 2k of 7.62. Got my AK by my side with my ear pro.

Stay safe guys!

 

[AnotherPleb]

MIltons eye is looking more stable. He's also taken on a spiral galaxy shape.
View attachment 6499487 View attachment 6499489

This is making that worst case scenario of a hit north of Tampa look even more dangerous.

 

[VientreGordo3000]

How does Pinellas county (and the rest of Tampa bay by extension) have so much plot armor to not be directly impacted by the hurricane every damn time? heard that it’s because of Native Americans blessing the area but that sounds kinda wild

Florida folks have hurricane parties and drink beer for most hurricanes.

Can confirm, we took as many cans as we could when we dipped out the county

 

[mindlessobserver]

Waterspout coming ashore in Collier County apparently. Milton has opened fire at extreme range

 

[Chuck McGill]

Guys, I'm not sure I see the big deal with this storm. Why does everybody need to evacuate? Who's scared of some rain and some wind? Nigga really fast wind is still just fucking wind. Flooding? I can swim I'm not black, no biggie. And if I see some debris coming I'll just move out of the way, duh. I have no stats to back this up but I feel like I'd be okay if I just went out there, what do you guys think?